Severe Weather Expert, Dr. Greg Forbes developed the TOR:CON index to estimate the risk of a tornado on a given day or night near your area.
The TOR:CON index ranges from 0 to 10. Multiply the value by 10 to get your percentage chance of a tornado within 50 miles of a location. For example, a TOR:CON index of 6 means there's a 60% chance of a tornado within 50 miles of any location in the indicated area.
Note: By definition, a severe thunderstorm contains one or more of the following: hail at least 1 inch in diameter, wind gusts 58 mph or higher, or a tornado.
A chance of severe thunderstorms along a stalled front in southeast NM, west TX, west OK, southwest, central and northeast KS, extreme southeast NE, southwest IA, northwest MO
TORCON - less than 2
The severe thunderstorm threat looks relatively low