Severe Weather Expert, Dr. Greg Forbes developed the TOR:CON index to estimate the risk of a tornado on a given day or night near your area.
The TOR:CON index ranges from 0 to 10. Multiply the value by 10 to get your percentage chance of a tornado within 50 miles of a location. For example, a TOR:CON index of 6 means there's a 60% chance of a tornado within 50 miles of any location in the indicated area.
Note: By definition, a severe thunderstorm contains one or more of the following: hail at least 1 inch in diameter, wind gusts 58 mph or higher, or a tornado.
Isolated severe thunderstorms in north MN, southeast ND, northeast and central SD
TORCON - 2
Computer models differ, but there is a chance that a tropical cyclone could affect eastern NC
Convergence along a frontal zone should focus a few severe storms, but lack of upper forcing and relatively air and high cloud bases hold down the tornado threat
that it's blurry - saw this, stopped, and shot a photo through my windshield
But it's a good message for everybody (and a pretty tree in the background) !